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Um …

May 20, 2008 Under World News 

So Sen. Clinton is still arguing the “I won the popular vote if you count Florida and Michigan” meme.

But did she?

If we just count Florida, she did not. Per RCP, just counting Florida, Obama still has the advantage by some 300,000 votes.

Counting Michigan is a much more problematic. In that case, Clinton’s argument requires us to believe that — had Obama’s name actually been on the ballot in Michigan — he would have received around 11% (or fewer) of the 238,168 votes that went to “Uncommitted.”

Scanning up and down the RCP list, I don’t see a single state where Obama received less than 25% of the votes cast.

So, if we applied that “lowest threshhold received so far” of 25% to Michigan’s “Uncomitted” voters, Obama would have walked out of there with 59,542 votes. That, plus his totals elsehwere, would give him today a margin of 32,575 votes more than Clinton — which is clearly greater than her edge of 26,967 votes, if we counted Florida and Michigan the way she wants to (with Obama getting 11% or less from Michigan).

Sorry, Senator C. But fair is fair. No matter how you slice and dice it, you’re simply not in the lead, in any category.

. .



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